Interannual Variability and Predictability of the West African Monsoon Circulation (Contributo in atti di convegno)

Type
Label
  • Interannual Variability and Predictability of the West African Monsoon Circulation (Contributo in atti di convegno) (literal)
Anno
  • 2006-01-01T00:00:00+01:00 (literal)
Alternative label
  • S. Corti, F. Molteni and F. Kucharski (2006)
    Interannual Variability and Predictability of the West African Monsoon Circulation
    in African Monsoon Multidisciplinary Analysis 1st International Conference, Dakar
    (literal)
Http://www.cnr.it/ontology/cnr/pubblicazioni.owl#autori
  • S. Corti, F. Molteni and F. Kucharski (literal)
Http://www.cnr.it/ontology/cnr/pubblicazioni.owl#descrizioneSinteticaDelProdotto
  • Atmospheric variability and predictability of the West African Monsoon is investigated using observational data and a large ensemble of AMIP-like experiments with an atmospheric general circulation model of intermediate complexity. The variability of the atmospheric flow can be thought as a superposition of an internal part, due to intrinsic dynamical variability, and an external part, due to the variations of the boundary forcing (i.e. sea surface temperatures (SSTs) and land- atmosphere interaction). The two components are identified by performing a 75-member ensemble of atmospheric simulations with prescribed, observed SSTs in the period 1949 - 2002. The large number of realizations allows the estimation of statistics of the atmospheric variability with a high confidence level. The analysis performed focuses on interdecadal and interannual variability. The model reproduces well the structure of the observed trend. The model results are compared with the observed dataset and the degree of predictability of the large scale monsoon circulation is evaluated. (literal)
Http://www.cnr.it/ontology/cnr/pubblicazioni.owl#affiliazioni
  • ICTP - International Centre of Theoretica Physics - Trieste - Italy (literal)
Titolo
  • Interannual Variability and Predictability of the West African Monsoon Circulation (literal)
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