Uncertainty of AIDS incubation time and its effects on backcalculation estimates (Articolo in rivista)

Type

• Articolo in rivista (Classe)
• Prodotto della ricerca (Classe)

Label

• Uncertainty of AIDS incubation time and its effects on backcalculation estimates (Articolo in rivista) (literal)

Anno

• 2000-01-01T00:00:00+01:00 (literal)

Alternative label

• Gigli Anna , Verdecchia Arduino (2000)
  Uncertainty of AIDS incubation time and its effects on backcalculation estimates
  in Statistics in medicine (Print)
  (literal)

Http://www.cnr.it/ontology/cnr/pubblicazioni.owl#autori

• Gigli Anna , Verdecchia Arduino (literal)

Pagina inizio

• 175 (literal)

Pagina fine

• 189 (literal)

Http://www.cnr.it/ontology/cnr/pubblicazioni.owl#numeroVolume

• 19 (literal)

Rivista

• Statistics in medicine (Rivista)

Note

• ISI Web of Science (WOS) (literal)

Http://www.cnr.it/ontology/cnr/pubblicazioni.owl#affiliazioni

• Gigli Anna : IRPPS-CNR Verdecchia Arduino : Istituto Superiore di Sanità, Roma (literal)

Titolo

• Uncertainty of AIDS incubation time and its effects on backcalculation estimates (literal)

Abstract

• Incubation time is the period from the onset of HIV infection to AIDS. The distribution of the incubation time is one of the main parameters of the back-calculation method for the estimation of incidence of HIV infection. Because of the long and variable incubation time, the assessment of its distribution is uncertain and this uncertainty spreads through the back-calculation method and affects the estimation of the precision of incidence of HIV infection. We propose a method to investigate the sensitivity of the estimates to variations of the incubation times, with particular regard to the covariate AGE in the modelling of the incubation period, making use of the parametric bootstrap. An application to the HIV epidemic in Italy is presented. The amplification of the uncertainty of the HIV incidence estimates resulting from the implementation of our proposed method tends to concentrate around the earlier periods of the epidemic, corresponding to the right tail of the incubation time distribution, which is very sensitive to small perturbations. Copyright © 2000 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (literal)

Prodotto di

• Dinamiche della Popolazione e Governance (IC.P08.003.001) (Modulo)
• Istituto di ricerche sulla popolazione e le politiche sociali (IRPPS) (Istituto)

Autore CNR

• ANNA GIGLI (Unità di personale interno)

Incoming links:

Prodotto

• Istituto di ricerche sulla popolazione e le politiche sociali (IRPPS) (Istituto)
• Dinamiche della Popolazione e Governance (IC.P08.003.001) (Modulo)

Autore CNR di

• ANNA GIGLI (Unità di personale interno)

Http://www.cnr.it/ontology/cnr/pubblicazioni.owl#rivistaDi

• Statistics in medicine (Rivista)