http://www.cnr.it/ontology/cnr/individuo/prodotto/ID309029
Epidemic dynamics and host immune response: a nested approach (Articolo in rivista)
- Type
- Label
- Epidemic dynamics and host immune response: a nested approach (Articolo in rivista) (literal)
- Anno
- 2015-01-01T00:00:00+01:00 (literal)
- Alternative label
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- Alberto Gandolfi, Andrea Pugliese, Carmela Sinisgalli (literal)
- Pagina inizio
- Pagina fine
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- Rivista
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- A. Gandolfi: Istituto di Analisi dei Sistemi ed Informatica \"A. Ruberti\" - CNR, Roma;
A. Pugliese: Dipartimento di Matematica, Universita' di Trento, Povo (Trento);
C. Sinisgalli: Istituto di Analisi dei Sistemi ed Informatica \"A. Ruberti\" - CNR, Roma; (literal)
- Titolo
- Epidemic dynamics and host immune response: a nested approach (literal)
- Abstract
- This paper proposes an approach for building epidemiological models that
incorporate the intra-host pathogen-immunity dynamics. The infected population is
structured in terms of pathogen load and level of immunity, and the initial infection
load may depend on the load of the individual from whom the infection is acquired.
In particular, we focus on the case in which the initial inoculum is taken proportional
to the load of the infectant. Possible reinfections are disregarded. Such an approach is
applied to formulate an epidemic model with isolation in a closed population by introducing
a specific intra-host dynamics. A numerical scheme for the solution of model
equations is developed, and some numerical results illustrating the role of the initial
inoculum, of the isolation threshold and of the pathogen dynamics on the epidemic
evolution are presented. From the simulations the distributions of latency, infectivity,
and isolation times can be also derived; however the predictions of the present models
differ qualitatively from those of traditional SEIHR models with distributed latency,
infectivity and isolation periods. (literal)
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- Autore CNR
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