http://www.cnr.it/ontology/cnr/individuo/prodotto/ID280234
Influence of climate variability and urban areas on the flood events in Bari (Apulia, southern Italy) (Abstract in rivista)
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- Label
- Influence of climate variability and urban areas on the flood events in Bari (Apulia, southern Italy) (Abstract in rivista) (literal)
- Anno
- 2014-01-01T00:00:00+01:00 (literal)
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- Teresa Lonigro, Maurizio Polemio (literal)
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- Pagina fine
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- Rivista
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- Titolo
- Influence of climate variability and urban areas on the flood events in Bari (Apulia, southern Italy) (literal)
- Abstract
- The Damaging Hydrogeological Events (DHEs) can be defined as the occurrence of one or more simultaneous
phenomena, such as droughts, windstorms, heat waves, landslides, floods and secondary floods (i.e. rapid
accumulation or pounding of surface water with very low flow velocity), causing damages. They represent a
serious problem, especially in DHE-prone areas with growing urbanization, where the infiltration capability is
limited by buildings and where the vulnerability is higher than other areas.
The paper proposes a methodology, based on both historical and time series approaches, used for describing the
influence of climatic variability and urban development on the number of phenomena observed.
The historical approach is finalised to collect phenomenon historical data, very important for the comprehension
of the evolution of a study area. Phenomenon historical data is useful for expanding the historical period of
investigation in order to assess the occurrence trend of DHEs. The historical analysis of DHEs can support
decision making and land-use planning, ultimately reducing natural risks.
The time series approach includes the collection and the statistical analysis of climatic data (monthly rainfall, wet
days, rainfall intensity, and temperature), useful to characterise the climate variations and trends and to roughly
assess the effects of these trends on river discharge and on the triggering of landslides. The time series approach is
completed by tools to analyse simultaneously all data types.
The study of land use variations, with a special emphasis on the urban areas, is important to understand how the
modifications occurred in the territory, especially in terms of vulnerability, could influence the occurrence of
DHEs. The methodology can be applied simultaneously to floods and landslides and was tested considering the
municipality of Bari (southern Italy), particularly affected by flood events.
Since the climate trend (decreasing trend of rainfall and rainfall intensity and an increasing trend of wet days and
temperatures) does not show favourable conditions for the increase of the annual number of damaging floods, its
trend is increasing. The role of anthropogenic modifications and the mismanagement of risk-prone areas should
be considered to justify the increasing occurrences of floods.
A validation of this hypothesis comes from the study of land use modifications, carried out comparing different
temporal levels of land use (from 1959 to 2006). The analysis shows, starting from 1959 to 2006, a significant
increase in urban areas (of about 50%) on the entire regional territory.
The municipality of Bari, the regional main town, has undergone a remarkable development of its urban areas,
from 12.45 Km2 in 1959 to 58.82 Km2 in 2006. The consequent increased vulnerability of this area has been
highlighted during the recent flood event occurred in 2005, which caused six casualties, numerous injuries and
damages to roads, buildings, industries, agriculture, livestock and services.
More details on previous results of this research activity were recently published (Polemio, 2010; Polemio and
Lonigro, 2012). (literal)
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