A simple stochastic lattice gas model for H1N1 pandemic. Application to the Italian epidemiological data (Articolo in rivista)

Type

• Prodotto della ricerca (Classe)
• Articolo in rivista (Classe)

Label

• A simple stochastic lattice gas model for H1N1 pandemic. Application to the Italian epidemiological data (Articolo in rivista) (literal)

Anno

• 2011-01-01T00:00:00+01:00 (literal)

Http://www.cnr.it/ontology/cnr/pubblicazioni.owl#doi

• 10.1140/epje/i2011-11011-2 (literal)

Alternative label

• A. Fierro; A. Liccardo (2011)
  A simple stochastic lattice gas model for H1N1 pandemic. Application to the Italian epidemiological data
  in The European physical journal. E, Soft matter (Print)
  (literal)

Http://www.cnr.it/ontology/cnr/pubblicazioni.owl#autori

• A. Fierro; A. Liccardo (literal)

Http://www.cnr.it/ontology/cnr/pubblicazioni.owl#numeroVolume

• 34 (literal)

Rivista

• ?The ?European physical journal. E, Soft matter (Rivista)

Http://www.cnr.it/ontology/cnr/pubblicazioni.owl#pagineTotali

• 6 (literal)

Http://www.cnr.it/ontology/cnr/pubblicazioni.owl#numeroFascicolo

• 2 (literal)

Note

• ISI Web of Science (WOS) (literal)

Http://www.cnr.it/ontology/cnr/pubblicazioni.owl#affiliazioni

• [A. Fierro CNR SPIN, I-80126 Naples, Italy]; [A. Liccardo Univ Naples Federico II, Dipartimento Sci Fis- INFN, Sez Napoli, I-80126 Naples, Italy] (literal)

Titolo

• A simple stochastic lattice gas model for H1N1 pandemic. Application to the Italian epidemiological data (literal)

Abstract

• We construct a very simple epidemic model for influenza spreading in an age-class-distributed population, by coupling a lattice gas model for the population dynamics with a SIR stochastic model for susceptible, infected and removed/immune individuals. We use as a test case the age-distributed Italian epidemiological data for the novel influenza A(H1N1). The most valuable features of this model are its country-independent and virus-independent structure (few demographic, social and virological data are used to fix some parameters), its large statistic due to a very short run-time machine, and its easy generalizability to include mitigation strategies. In spite of its simplicity, the model presented reproduces the epidemiological Italian data, with sensible predictions for the reproduction number and theoretically interesting results for the generation time distribution. (literal)

Prodotto di

• Modellizzazione e studi \"ab-initio\" di materiali funzionali e Sistemi complessi (MD.P02.023.001) (Modulo)

Autore CNR

• ANNALISA FIERRO (Unità di personale interno)

Insieme di parole chiave

• Parole chiave di "A simple stochastic lattice gas model for H1N1 pandemic. Application to the Italian epidemiological data" (Insieme di parole chiave)

Incoming links:

Autore CNR di

• ANNALISA FIERRO (Unità di personale interno)

Prodotto

• Modellizzazione e studi \"ab-initio\" di materiali funzionali e Sistemi complessi (MD.P02.023.001) (Modulo)

Http://www.cnr.it/ontology/cnr/pubblicazioni.owl#rivistaDi

• ?The ?European physical journal. E, Soft matter (Rivista)

Insieme di parole chiave di

• Parole chiave di "A simple stochastic lattice gas model for H1N1 pandemic. Application to the Italian epidemiological data" (Insieme di parole chiave)