http://www.cnr.it/ontology/cnr/individuo/prodotto/ID42382
ENERGY, FOREST, AND INDOOR AIR POLLUTION MODELS FOR SAGARMATHA NATIONAL PARK BUFFER ZONE, NEPAL: IMPLEMENTATION OF A PARTICIPATORY MODELING FRAMEWORK (Articolo in rivista)
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- ENERGY, FOREST, AND INDOOR AIR POLLUTION MODELS FOR SAGARMATHA NATIONAL PARK BUFFER ZONE, NEPAL: IMPLEMENTATION OF A PARTICIPATORY MODELING FRAMEWORK (Articolo in rivista) (literal)
- Anno
- 2010-01-01T00:00:00+01:00 (literal)
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SALERNO F., MANFREDI E.C. ET AL. (2010)
ENERGY, FOREST, AND INDOOR AIR POLLUTION MODELS FOR SAGARMATHA NATIONAL PARK BUFFER ZONE, NEPAL: IMPLEMENTATION OF A PARTICIPATORY MODELING FRAMEWORK
in Mountain research and development
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- SALERNO F., MANFREDI E.C. ET AL. (literal)
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- Titolo
- ENERGY, FOREST, AND INDOOR AIR POLLUTION MODELS FOR SAGARMATHA NATIONAL PARK BUFFER ZONE, NEPAL: IMPLEMENTATION OF A PARTICIPATORY MODELING FRAMEWORK (literal)
- Abstract
- This paper presents the
results of managementoriented
research on
energy, forest, and human
health issues in a remote
mountain area, the
Sagarmatha National Park
and Buffer Zone (SNPBZ),
Nepal. The research was
based on a broader,
integrated participatory framework ultimately intended for use
in adaptive management. The present study focused on the
application of a participatory modeling framework to address
problems related to energy demand and consumption, forest
condition, and indoor air pollution, which were defined by the
stakeholders as important issues to be addressed. The
models were developed using a generalizing design that
allows for user-friendly adaptation to other contexts (free
download at http://hkkhpartnership.org). Moreover, we
simulated management scenarios in collaboration with all
modeling actors with the aim of building consensus on the
understanding of the system as well as supporting decisionmakers'
capacity not only to respond to changes, but also to
anticipate them. Importantly, the system dynamics
assessment found that the SNPBZ forests are affected by an
increasing demand for fuelwood (occurring due to tourism
growth), as one of the main sources of energy. Selected
forests show an average reduction of 38% in forest biomass
from 1992 to 2008. This shows that the business-as-usual
scenario is unlikely to result in the preservation of the current
forest status; in fact, such preservation would require 75% of
fuelwood to be replaced with alternative energy sources. At
the same time, a 75% reduction of fuelwood use (and an 80%
reduction of dung use) would reduce indoor carbon monoxide
(CO) concentrations to the standard limits for CO exposure set
by the World Health Organization. (literal)
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