Stochastic Population Projections: an Application to the Rome Metropolitan Area (Contributo in atti di convegno)

Type

• Prodotto della ricerca (Classe)
• Contributo in atti di convegno (Classe)

Label

• Stochastic Population Projections: an Application to the Rome Metropolitan Area (Contributo in atti di convegno) (literal)

Anno

• 2014-01-01T00:00:00+01:00 (literal)

Alternative label

• Salvatore Bertino, Oliviero Casacchia, Massimiliano Crisci (2014)
  Stochastic Population Projections: an Application to the Rome Metropolitan Area
  in Sixth Eurostat/UNECE Work Session on Demographic Projections, Rome, 29-31 October 2013
  (literal)

Http://www.cnr.it/ontology/cnr/pubblicazioni.owl#autori

• Salvatore Bertino, Oliviero Casacchia, Massimiliano Crisci (literal)

Pagina inizio

• 216 (literal)

Pagina fine

• 229 (literal)

Http://www.cnr.it/ontology/cnr/pubblicazioni.owl#url

• http://www.istat.it/it/archivio/137411 (literal)

Http://www.cnr.it/ontology/cnr/pubblicazioni.owl#titoloVolume

• Proceedings of the Sixth Eurostat/UNECE Work Session on Demographic Projections (literal)

Http://www.cnr.it/ontology/cnr/pubblicazioni.owl#affiliazioni

• University of Rome \"La Sapienza\", University of Rome \"La Sapienza\", CNR-IRPPS (literal)

Titolo

• Stochastic Population Projections: an Application to the Rome Metropolitan Area (literal)

Http://www.cnr.it/ontology/cnr/pubblicazioni.owl#curatoriVolume

• Marsili M., Capacci R. (eds.) (literal)

Abstract

• The stochastic method has recently received much attention from researchers and seems to be a useful and efficient tool for implementing multiregional forecasting at a local level. In the paper the results are presented of a project financed by the Province of Rome to make a multiple stochastic population forecast of the Rome Metropolitan Area using the so-called Bertino-Sonnino method, based on micro-simulations of birthdeath- emigration-immigration point event processes. This forecast is based on a range of assumptions referring to the future demographic dynamics over the period 2009-24 and forming three variants. The outcome of the stochastic method is compared with deterministic multiregional forecasting to verify the efficiency of both methodologies. This two-step strategy allows control to be maintained over the assumed future demographic variants, at the same time linking in a probability level. (literal)

Prodotto di

• Dinamiche della popolazione e Governance (IC.P08.013.001) (Modulo)
• Istituto di ricerche sulla popolazione e le politiche sociali (IRPPS) (Istituto)

Autore CNR

• MASSIMILIANO CRISCI (Unità di personale interno)

Insieme di parole chiave

• Keywords of "Stochastic Population Projections: an Application to the Rome Metropolitan Area" (Insieme di parole chiave)

Incoming links:

Prodotto

• Istituto di ricerche sulla popolazione e le politiche sociali (IRPPS) (Istituto)
• Dinamiche della popolazione e Governance (IC.P08.013.001) (Modulo)

Autore CNR di

• MASSIMILIANO CRISCI (Unità di personale interno)

Insieme di parole chiave di

• Keywords of "Stochastic Population Projections: an Application to the Rome Metropolitan Area" (Insieme di parole chiave)