http://www.cnr.it/ontology/cnr/individuo/prodotto/ID197555
Probabilistic analysis of macroseismic fields: Iceland case study (Contributo in atti di convegno)
- Type
- Label
- Probabilistic analysis of macroseismic fields: Iceland case study (Contributo in atti di convegno) (literal)
- Anno
- 2012-01-01T00:00:00+01:00 (literal)
- Alternative label
Rotondi R, Brambilla C, Varini E, Sigbjörnsson R (2012)
Probabilistic analysis of macroseismic fields: Iceland case study
in 15th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering (15WCEE), Lisboa, Portugal, 2012, September 24-28
(literal)
- Http://www.cnr.it/ontology/cnr/pubblicazioni.owl#autori
- Rotondi R, Brambilla C, Varini E, Sigbjörnsson R (literal)
- Http://www.cnr.it/ontology/cnr/pubblicazioni.owl#altreInformazioni
- This study is co-financed by the EU-Civil Protection Financial Instrument, in the framework of the European project \"Urban disaster Prevention Strategies using MAcroseismic Fields and FAult Sources\" (UPStrat-MAFA - Num.230301/2011/613486/SUB/A5), DG ECHO Unit A5. (literal)
- Http://www.cnr.it/ontology/cnr/pubblicazioni.owl#titoloVolume
- Proceedings of the 15th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering (15WCEE) (literal)
- Rivista
- Http://www.cnr.it/ontology/cnr/pubblicazioni.owl#pagineTotali
- Http://www.cnr.it/ontology/cnr/pubblicazioni.owl#affiliazioni
- Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche, Istituto di Matematica Applicata e Tecnologie Informatiche, Italy.
Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche, Istituto di Matematica Applicata e Tecnologie Informatiche, Italy.
Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche, Istituto di Matematica Applicata e Tecnologie Informatiche, Italy.
Earthquake Engineering Research Centre, Iceland. (literal)
- Titolo
- Probabilistic analysis of macroseismic fields: Iceland case study (literal)
- Abstract
- In this work our objectives are, first, to describe a probabilistic model aimed at forecasting macroseismic fields
and, second, to present the results and findings obtained by applying the model to two of recent damaging
earthquakes in the South Iceland Seismic Zone, namely, the earthquakes on 17 June, 2000 and 29 May, 2008,
both of assessed epicentral intensity MMI X. The model considers the intensity decay as a random variable
having a binomial probability distribution with parameter p, which is in its turn assumed to be a beta random
variable. Estimation is carried out according to the Bayesian paradigm; on the basis of a learning set of
macroseismic fields, we express our belief on the phenomenon by assigning prior distributions to the model
parameters and we then update them with current data. The model has already been applied to Italian
earthquakes, in particular, earthquakes occurring in the Mt. Etna volcanic environment. (literal)
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